John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 12

COOL AMERICAN

F '23 · INDEPENDENCE HALL × TIZCOOL

Trainer: LOVELL MICHELLE · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

74.7

Speed fig

20.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.81
  • Today Track Code +0.43
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.41
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.39
  • Class Par Trend +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.66
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.95
  • Today Field Size -0.62
  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.30

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1.06m Turf 6 6.0 79 83 Ins;wait5/16;nobid btw
2026-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.8 69 74 Wait 3w btw;6p upr;bid
2026-02-26 TP 1m Dirt 4 2.3 75 77 Ins;aim 2p2nd;lack bid