John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 14

CONSIDER ME FIRST

F '23 · UNCLE MO × NOT UNUSUAL

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

74.7

Speed fig

11.5%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.05
  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.42
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.28
  • Last Finish Pos +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.42
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.13
  • Today Field Size -0.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.58
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.45

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Dirt 1 1.5 76 75 3w;adv 4w trn;5w1/4
2026-01-21 TAM 1m Turf 2 0.3 71 75 Bmp st;2-4p;bmp1/2;mis
2025-10-16 BAQ 1m Turf 6 5.3 75 75 Chased ins; weakened