John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 6

CONSEQUENTIAL

G '23 · KNOWN AGENDA × BRIE'S LUCKY CHARM

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Scratched today

72.0

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.33
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.27
  • Num Career Starts +0.20
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.14
  • Last Speed Fig +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.44
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.84
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.34
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.28
  • Today Post Position -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1m Dirt 4 7.3 75 81 Chased ins;no menace
2026-03-13 TP 1.06m Dirt 4 9.5 74 78 4p;brsh 3/16;duel show
2026-02-13 TP 1m Dirt 4 3.5 69 78 3-4p;ran on btw;up 4th
2025-11-30 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 8.8 64 77 2w;4p2nd;6p1/4;no bid
2025-11-02 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 1.5 74 76 Ins;bid 2w;led;bested
2025-10-18 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 12.3 63 84 Stdy btw erly;moved up
2025-09-17 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 2.8 71 75 Saved grnd;rail rally
2025-08-09 ELP 1m Turf 9 15.0 57 79 2wd;outmoved 2nd;wknd