John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 2

CONNECT THE STARS

F '23 · CONNECT × SPLIT TIME

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: CASTELLANO J J

Today's prediction

85.7

Speed fig

19.9%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.07
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.59
  • Today Track Code +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.56
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.46
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.17
  • Distance Change From Last -0.10
  • Jockey Meet Starts Log -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 7.5f Turf 2 0.3 88 87 Circled 4wd; missed
2026-02-28 GP 1m Turf 7 7.0 79 88 No factor; 3wd
2026-01-25 GP 7.5f Turf 1 0.5 79 80 Forced out1st;5-4p 2nd
2025-09-28 BAQ 1m Dirt 6 7.0 73 79 Inside turn;no threat
2025-08-29 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 4.0 76 76 3-4p turns;willingly
2025-08-01 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 1.3 71 77 Lunged st; mild kick
2025-07-05 SAR 1m Turf 2 1.0 77 77 3p1st;2-4p2nd;5p1/4
2025-06-12 BAQ 6f Turf 5 7.5 65 80 Duck out brk;off slow