John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R2

PP 8

COMMUTED

G '21 · GUN RUNNER × FINAL HOLIDAY

Trainer: RICE LINDA · Jockey: SANTANA RICARDO JR

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

28.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.05
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.55
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.28
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.74
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.69

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Avg Quirin -0.32
  • Today Post Position -0.27
  • Today Field Size -0.25
  • Today Weight -0.19
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-24 BAQ 6f Dirt 1 1.3 92 93 Brush gate; edged away
2026-04-25 AQU 1m Dirt 1 4.3 89 94 Hit gate st; drew off
2026-03-15 AQU 1m Dirt 1 0.3 88 89 Bmpd brk;3w;carry str
2026-02-21 AQU 1m Dirt 1 3.5 87 89 Ins turn;steady urging
2026-01-03 AQU 1m Dirt 8 16.8 70 95 Prompted 3-2w; tired
2025-12-06 AQU 1m Dirt 8 14.3 79 94 In hand 2p; tired
2025-11-08 AQU 1.13m Dirt 4 4.8 84 95 Ins-2p;headed3/16;wknd
2025-09-12 BAQ 1m Dirt 1 0.1 89 86 Duel; impeded foe;held
2025-08-15 SAR 1m Dirt 1 1.3 88 87 Brush gate; held safe
2025-07-19 SAR 7f Dirt 10 31.3 51 95 Ins-2p turn;eased;wlkd