John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 4

COMMAND THE STARS

F '23 · COMPLEXITY × PULLED THE GOALIE

Trainer: CUNNINGHAM S JADE · Jockey: TORRES CRISTIAN A

Today's prediction

65.7

Speed fig

26.9%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Field Avg Quirin +0.21
  • Weight Change From Last +0.21
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate +0.21
  • Today Field Size +0.15
  • Days Since Last Race +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.53
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.00
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.91

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 3 12.3 63 79 3-2p; bump1/8; faded
2025-10-02 IND 1m Dirt 4 26.8 47 66 Led rail;gave way str
2025-08-02 ELP 6f Dirt 6 6.3 68 79 Brsh erly;4w;yield btw
2025-06-29 CD 5f Dirt 5 8.8 61 84 Hop;3p;4-6p1/4;improvd