John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 11

COMES A TIME

C '22 · NOT THIS TIME × BACHELORS WALK

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: CARRASCO VICTOR R

Today's prediction

77.4

Speed fig

34.2%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.87
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.83
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.33
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.23
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.43
  • Today Field Size -0.37
  • Today Post Position -0.36
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.33

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 7f Dirt 4 3.0 72 86 Ins;6p1/8;willingly
2026-03-28 TP 6.5f Dirt 9 7.3 71 90 Chased 3-4wbtw;gave wy
2025-11-22 CD 7f Dirt 5 8.0 78 89 Press 2w;chsd;gave way
2025-10-16 KEE 6f Dirt 7 15.3 69 93 Vied 2wd btwn;wknd 1/4
2025-09-10 KD 6.5f Turf 10 12.0 71 91 Wellback3p; no threat
2025-08-22 ELP 1m Turf 4 2.8 89 Press 4-3p;vied;faded
2025-07-03 ELP 7f Dirt 4 8.0 82 Stalkd 3w;no bid;faded
2024-10-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 24.5 64 89 Brsh gate;3p;faded btw
2024-09-21 BAQ 6.5f Dirt 1 0.5 87 84 3-4w 1/4;up last jumps