John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 10

COAL FIRED

G '23 · FIRING LINE × SALLY POLLOCK HIGH

Trainer: FOSTER ERIC · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

67.1

Speed fig

18.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.35
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.27
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.22
  • Today Track Code +0.16
  • Num Career Starts +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.10
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.03
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.94
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.62

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 7f Dirt 6 10.5 64 86 Ins wnnr;faded;left ld
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.5 70 79 Ins; 3-5p lane; dug in
2026-02-14 OP 6f Dirt 5 8.8 63 78 Press rail;4p upr;fade
2026-01-02 TP 6.5f Dirt 9 24.5 45 85 Prompt 3pbtw;faded5/16
2025-12-19 TP 6f Dirt 8 19.5 48 84 No speed outrun
2025-11-21 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 3.5 74 79 4w;bid;duel btw;lft ld