John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 4

CLIFFS OF DOVER

G '22 · LIAM'S MAP × CARBIS BAY

Trainer: HEATH DESTIN G · Jockey: GRAHAM J

Today's prediction

65.0

Speed fig

5.3%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.64
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.41
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.17
  • Today Field Size +0.14
  • Num Career Starts +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.17
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.08
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.58

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-05 OP 1.06m Dirt 6 20.3 60 74 Off pace 2p; no impact
2026-02-16 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 4.5 72 76 3-4p;5p upr;rallied
2026-01-24 FG 1.06m Dirt 4 9.8 57 77 Slow; imprvd far outs