John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 5

CLASSY'N CONNECTED

M '21 · CONNECT × SMART DORIE

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

83.6

Speed fig

46.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.61
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.51
  • Last Finish Pos +0.47
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.39

Pushing prediction down

  • Class Par Trend -0.39
  • Days Since Last Race -0.14
  • Today Track Code -0.12
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Num Career Starts -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 CD 1m Turf 1 3.3 80 81 Ins;5p upr;bid;drw off
2026-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 5 7.8 74 88 2-3p;6p upr;willingly
2025-12-26 TP 1m Dirt 1 2.5 91 91 8p3/16;rallied;cleared
2025-11-16 CD 1.06m Turf 2 3.5 82 90 Bmpd btw/sqzd erly;ins
2025-09-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 7.0 82 91 Pinchd erly;shffld 3/8
2025-09-06 KD 1m Turf 5 6.5 72 86 2-4w; kept on inside
2025-07-21 ELP 1.13m Dirt 3 4.0 81 88 Track ins;2w1/4;evenly
2025-06-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 5 2.5 83 91 2p into lane;belatedly
2025-05-30 CD 1m Dirt 4 17.0 73 87 Brush;track ins;no bid
2024-11-22 CD 1.13m Turf 5 2.0 81 87 2w;3p1/4;chased evenly