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← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

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F '23 · GALILEAN × CANDY D'ORO

Trainer: MILLER PETER · Jockey: ESPINOZA ASSAEL

Today's prediction

72.3

Speed fig

37.1%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.31
  • Last Speed Fig +0.30
  • Distance Change From Last +0.25
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.20
  • Today Field Size +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.32
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.27
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.99
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.74
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.47

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 OP 6f Dirt 3 8.5 76 84 Bid 3p 5/16; even lane
2026-03-19 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 76 74 2p-ins;cued3/16;dug in
2026-02-07 OP 6f Dirt 4 2.8 62 74 Broke in;2p;weaken1/16
2025-12-20 OP 6f Dirt 7 19.3 46 72 Gave way when headed
2025-10-26 CD 7f Dirt 10 20.5 53 82 Bmpd btw start;2wd btw
2025-08-28 SAR 6f Dirt 7 23.5 35 81 Veer in brk;bmp;falter