John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

CIVIC CHARM

C '23 · CONSTITUTION × FIFTYSHADESOFGOLD

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

72.9

Speed fig

30.9%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.96
  • Num Career Starts +0.24
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.21
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.14
  • Days Since Last Race +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.77
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.71
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.55
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.32
  • Today Post Position -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-29 GP 6f Dirt 4 5.5 74 89 Off step slow;mild bid