John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 3

CIRCUIT BREAKER

G '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × CONIAH

Trainer: LOBO PAULO H · Jockey: ROMAN EVIN A

Today's prediction

71.4

Speed fig

32.9%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.44
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.42
  • Last Speed Fig +0.34
  • Class Par Trend +0.31
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.31
  • Distance Change From Last -0.89
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.69
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.48
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 2.5 79 81 Off slow;4w;rallied
2026-01-07 TP 1m Dirt 10 10.3 59 79 Bmpd btw st;3w;4-5p2nd