John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 2

CIRCLE THE STORM

G '23 · UNION RAGS × SQUARE PEGGY

Trainer: NAVARRETE ANNA · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

63.2

Speed fig

28.8%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.38
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.34
  • Today Post Position +0.34
  • Class Par Trend +0.28
  • Distance Change From Last +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.34
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.54
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.50
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.63

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 20.5 54 83 Vied 2w;ins wnnr;wknd
2026-03-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 5 9.5 60 79 3p; no factor