John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 3

CHOPSTICKS

F '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × MISS SOUTHERN MISS

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

85.7

Speed fig

40.1%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.51
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.75
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.44
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.36
  • Class Par Trend +0.34

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Speed Fig -0.21
  • Today Field Size -0.12
  • Starts Last 180d -0.10
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.10
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-10-04 BAQ 1m Dirt 9 14.3 71 94 2path turn; no factor
2025-08-10 ELP 7f Dirt 1 1.0 85 91 3w;bid;led;repelld foe
2025-06-27 CD 6f Dirt 1 3.0 80 84 3-5p;up1/16;drew clear