Derby 2026
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PP 3

CHOPSTICKS

F '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × MISS SOUTHERN MISS

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

82.1

Speed fig

28.4%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.10
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.60
  • Days Since Last Race +0.32
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.09

Pushing prediction down

  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.74
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.47
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.30
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.28

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-10-04 BAQ 1m Dirt 9 14.3 71 94 2path turn; no factor
2025-08-10 ELP 7f Dirt 1 1.0 85 91 3w;bid;led;repelld foe
2025-06-27 CD 6f Dirt 1 3.0 80 84 3-5p;up1/16;drew clear