John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 4

CHILLED

M '21 · FROSTED × SNUCK OUT

Trainer: OLIVER VICTORIA · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

87.6

Speed fig

43.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.81
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.47
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.65
  • Last Speed Fig +0.65
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.64

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.33
  • Class Par Trend -0.22
  • Last Finish Pos -0.10
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.09
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 1.06m Dirt 6 9.0 89 99 4-2p; no menace
2025-11-27 CD 1.13m Dirt 8 26.8 69 96 Tracked ins;wknd 5/16
2025-10-25 KEE 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 91 Vied 2w;clear3/16;held
2025-10-05 KEE 1.13m Dirt 5 9.5 93 102 Ins;5-6p1/4;outrun
2025-09-07 KD 1m Turf 9 12.0 69 3-4w turn;no response
2025-07-19 MTH 1.06m Dirt 6 66.8 19 96 Pulled up; walked off
2025-06-13 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 87 89 3w;btw;wait;5p upr;edg
2025-04-23 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 92 90 Ins;brush1/8;dueld plc
2025-04-06 KEE 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 87 2w;bid btw;led;lug out
2024-11-29 CD 1.06m Turf 9 7.0 79 89 2wd btwn; faded 2nd