John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R14

PP 10

CHIANTI TOWN

C '23 · SPEIGHTSTOWN × READY FOR CHIANTI

Trainer: STEWART DALLAS · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

75.6

Speed fig

32.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.66
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.52
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.35
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.28
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.26
  • Today Field Size -1.05
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.39
  • Today Post Position -0.31
  • Distance Change From Last -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-21 FG 6f Dirt 5 5.5 77 90 Bmp st;ins-2w;no kick
2026-02-21 FG 6f Dirt 4 7.5 80 87 Ins; adv turn; no bid