John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 2

CHATTERFIELD

G '23 · MAXFIELD × JUST TALKIN

Trainer: MCGUIRE KARA LIN · Jockey: CANNON DECLAN

Today's prediction

63.5

Speed fig

18.4%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.41
  • Today Post Position +0.24
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.23
  • Weight Change From Last +0.22
  • Distance Change From Last +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.90
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.58
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.05
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.64

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 IND 6f Dirt 4 11.0 59 74 Awk;bmp;3p;faded str
2025-12-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 7 10.5 61 76 Inside; no factor
2025-10-25 KEE 1.13m Turf 9 22.0 54 81 3-5wd; tired 2nd
2025-10-11 KEE 6.5f Dirt 6 15.0 64 89 3p; moved up
2025-09-18 CD 6f Dirt 10 23.0 44 84 Stdy btw7/16;ins;faded
2025-04-07 KEE 4.5f Dirt 9 15.8 53 83 Inside; gave way