Derby 2026
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PP 7

CHASTEN

F '22 · INTO MISCHIEF × LOCKDOWN

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

90.0

Speed fig

26.9%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.80
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.69
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.64
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.39

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Speed Fig -0.22
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.16
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.03
  • Starts Last 180d -0.02
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.02

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1m Dirt 1 0.5 99 92 Determined 3 wide bid
2026-01-10 FG 1.04m Dirt 1 1.0 88 87 Slow; trail; 6wbid; up
2025-06-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 7 7.5 82 87 Tad slow st; trailed
2025-05-02 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 7.0 89 87 Bid 3/8; back for plc
2025-01-18 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 5.8 89 90 Tugged ins; gave way
2024-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 1 1.5 84 81 Bmpd btwst;5p3/8;grind