John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 12

CHASING GRAY

G '23 · KNICKS GO × SEEKING LUCK

Trainer: FORSTER GRANT T · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

57.6

Speed fig

18.9%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.30
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.28
  • Distance Change From Last +0.27
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -11.99
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -2.67
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -2.57
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.12
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.80

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1m Dirt 10 26.5 40 79 Caught 5/16; stopped
2026-04-10 KEE 6.5f Dirt 10 27.0 38 86 4-3p; no factor
2026-02-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 7 36.0 39 82 Vied outs;falter;eased
2026-01-24 FG 1.04m Dirt 5 10.3 65 81 Pace; yield; wknd
2026-01-01 FG 1m Turf 8 17.5 54 81 Press; up; retreat 1/4
2025-12-06 FG 6f Dirt 7 17.3 49 77 Hop st; no threat