John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 8

CHARTED DESTINY

F '23 · LIAM'S MAP × LA BURNETT

Trainer: LAROSE KINNON · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

74.3

Speed fig

25.3%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.44
  • Today Track Code +0.29
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.24
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.17
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.90
  • Today Post Position -0.44
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.32
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 6.3 82 84 Bump st;4-2p; no close
2026-02-05 OP 6f Dirt 8 9.0 64 85 Slow st; wellback 2p
2025-12-27 OP 6f Dirt 5 8.5 76 84 Off slow;bother;4w1/4