John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R3

PP 5

CHARDONNAY DERBY

F '23 · MITOLE × JUST HATTIE

Trainer: RICE LINDA · Jockey: LEZCANO JOSE

Today's prediction

68.1

Speed fig

46.2%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Finish Pos +0.16
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate +0.12
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.11
  • Distance Change From Last +0.08
  • Today Weight +0.07

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.46
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.03
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.83
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.59

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 BAQ 6f Dirt 1 0.1 65 78 4p turn;5p1/4;clr;held
2026-03-14 AQU 6.5f Dirt 2 3.3 66 77 Fought back for place
2025-07-17 SAR 5.5f Turf 8 14.5 46 80 Ins-2path turn;3p1/4