John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 7

CHAMBERSVILLE

C '23 · TWIRLING CANDY × REEF POINT

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

82.4

Speed fig

30.2%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.20
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.74
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.38
  • Today Track Code +0.34
  • Class Par Trend +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.19
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.11
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.10
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Turf 3 1.8 81 Move 5w1/2;4-5w;kpt on
2026-02-07 TP 1m Dirt 3 8.8 82 91 3p;mildly;denied place
2025-12-06 AQU 1.13m Dirt 10 23.0 72 96 Stumble st;steady8-1/2
2025-10-25 KEE 1.13m Turf 1 1.0 79 81 Ins;2-3p;4pupr;bid1/16
2025-10-02 BAQ 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 83 78 Bmp st;2-3p;mvd in1/16
2025-08-31 SAR 1.06m Turf 7 4.0 72 80 Bumped 1M; outkicked