John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R6

PP 9

CENTAVO

G '18 · FLASHSTORM × FIRST PENNY

Trainer: CHATTERPAUL NAIPAUL · Jockey: HERNANDEZ MORENO OMAR

Today's prediction

77.1

Speed fig

31.9%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.76
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.48
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.23
  • Days Since Last Race +0.15

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.65
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.24
  • Today Post Position -0.23
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.18
  • Today Field Size -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-03 BAQ 1m Dirt 4 8.5 77 80 3-4p turn;5p into lane
2026-03-28 AQU 1.38m Dirt 4 6.8 84 96 2p turns;chased;wknd
2026-03-14 AQU 1.19m Dirt 1 6.3 90 83 3-4w turns; bid 5/16
2026-02-28 AQU 1m Dirt 4 11.5 73 82 Off bit slow;5p turn
2026-02-14 CT 1.06m Dirt 3 5.8 75 82 Bid4w1/4;willingly
2026-01-03 CT 1.06m Dirt 2 0.8 82 83 Inside rally up place
2025-12-23 PRX 1.04m Dirt 5 13.0 70 86 Caught tiring rivals
2025-11-19 FL 1.04m Dirt 5 4.0 75 81 Rail bid;hung
2025-11-12 FL 1.06m Dirt 3 2.8 74 79 Rail bid5/16;wkn late
2025-10-29 FL 1.04m Dirt 3 1.8 74 79 2p1/2; with interest
2025-10-01 FL 1.06m Dirt 4 5.8 78 79 4w3/8;5w1/4lckd rally