John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

CAVIAR BREAKFAST

F '22 · MENDELSSOHN × WILDCAT GOLD

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL

Today's prediction

84.3

Speed fig

28.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.71
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.51
  • Last Finish Pos -0.24
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.24
  • Today Field Size -0.14
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 11.5 78 Prmpt 3w;wkn btw 4p1/4
2025-12-27 FG 1.06m Turf 5 2.5 84 86 Btw; back; late split
2025-11-28 CD 1.06m Turf 5 2.5 90 89 Saved grnd;ran on btwn
2025-11-01 CD 1.13m Turf 1 0.8 81 86 Bmpd;2w;bid;cleard;hld
2025-10-09 KEE 1.13m Turf 1 0.1 85 81 2w;led 5/16;tenacious
2025-09-19 CD 1.06m Turf 3 1.8 75 81 3p;blckd btw1/4;ran on
2025-08-29 SAR 1.06m Turf 2 0.1 87 84 Ins;2p3/16;bid out1/16
2025-08-14 CNL 1.19m Turf 3 0.5 81 74 Own pace;dug in;game
2025-07-19 CNL 1.19m Turf 3 0.8 67 74 Vied ins;3w upr;ran on
2025-05-25 CD 1.06m Turf 8 7.5 72 81 Lacked rally