John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R12

PP 10

CASTLE RUN

G '22 · DAREDEVIL × SEASONED WARRIOR

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

73.6

Speed fig

6.8%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.42
  • Field Early Speed Count +0.28
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate +0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.15
  • Num Career Starts +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.06
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.43
  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Today Track Code -0.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.28

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-01 FG 5.5f Turf 5 6.5 70 83 Bmp btw; chsd; flatnd
2026-01-30 FG 5.5f Turf 3 1.0 75 83 Bmpst; rallied ins
2025-05-09 CD 5f Turf 4 2.0 77 87 2p;5p upr;denied show
2024-11-16 CD 6f Dirt 8 15.0 73 84 Rush ins;stdy;gave way
2024-09-28 CD 6f Dirt 3 2.5 77 84 Ins pair;game;yld late