John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 1

CARSON

G '22 · HARD SPUN × SHE'S ON PARADE

Trainer: CATALANO WAYNE M · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

72.4

Speed fig

55.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.42
  • Today Post Position +0.21
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.14
  • Today Track Code +0.13
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.86
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.45
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.42
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.39
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-10 CD 7f Dirt 2 2.8 75 78 Ins;2w3/8;bid;left ld
2025-11-12 CD 5f Turf 9 8.0 68 85 Bump st;4-3p;no impact