John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 6

CARMEL COAST

F '23 · OMAHA BEACH × CARMEL BEAUTY

Trainer: BECKMAN D WHITWORTH · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

83.8

Speed fig

45.2%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.66
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.60
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.59

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.17
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.29
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.17
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-10-04 BAQ 1m Dirt 6 9.0 77 94 2p;headed3/16;gave way
2025-08-10 SAR 6.5f Dirt 1 5.5 89 85 In hand 4p; drew off