John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 5

CARDINAL UNION

G '22 · UNION RAGS × CARRERA CAT

Trainer: VAN BERG THOMAS L · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

69.9

Speed fig

25.9%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.30
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.25
  • Distance Change From Last +0.20
  • Today Track Code +0.17
  • Num Career Starts +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.32
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.33
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.82
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.51
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 KEE 7f Dirt 5 2.8 67 84 Slght hop;2w;led;faded
2026-02-28 TP 6.5f Dirt 10 19.5 57 81 Chased ins;faded turn
2026-02-07 TP 6f Dirt 10 16.3 50 81 Steadied early; 4-7p
2025-12-17 TP 6f Dirt 4 5.5 74 82 Duel; chase; wkd late
2025-11-19 CD 6f Dirt 5 3.5 78 83 Off slow;ins;bmp 5p1/8
2025-03-27 TP 6f Dirt 4 8.3 71 85 4p upr; bid; flattened