John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 8

CABERNEIGH

M '21 · MUNNINGS × BOUDICEA'S REVENGE

Trainer: BARKER SCOTT W · Jockey: MCKEE J

Today's prediction

67.6

Speed fig

7.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.32
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.98
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.25
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.82
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.64
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.49

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 5.5f Turf 5 11.5 69 Bmpd st;4p;wknd btw1/8
2026-03-14 CT 4.5f Dirt 6 14.3 58 82 Slow start;no response
2025-12-20 TP 6f Dirt 8 18.0 58 90 Led 2wd; faltered
2025-11-16 CD 5.5f Turf 10 10.0 70 87 Stalk 2w;wknd 4p btwn
2025-10-01 BTP 6f Dirt 5 12.0 61 83 Hustld;led1/4;gave way
2025-08-09 BTP 5f Dirt 1 2.0 85 80 Rail; driving
2025-07-17 BTP 5f Turf 1 0.3 74 72 Lead; just held on
2025-06-12 BTP 5f Turf 1 4.3 74 75 Inside;much the best
2025-03-22 TP 6f Dirt 7 7.5 73 84 Led to str; empty late
2024-12-04 TP 6.5f Dirt 11 45.0 8 94 Ins duel 1/2 stopped