John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 7

C MCGRIFF

G '23 · TACITUS × WONDER STONE

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

76.9

Speed fig

38.4%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.63
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.44
  • Today Track Code +0.39
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.27

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.26
  • Today Post Position -0.30
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.20
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.13
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 3.8 80 89 2p;4-5p upr;no factor
2026-03-14 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 0.8 75 81 Keen 1st;3w;up late
2026-02-28 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 3.5 82 86 Ins;cued1/4; clear2nd
2025-11-19 CD 6f Dirt 4 4.8 78 84 Step slw;2-4pbtw;wllng