John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 3

C F V BULLET

G '19 · WILL TAKE CHARGE × LITTLE CYCLONE

Trainer: GOROSTIETA CIRILO · Jockey: GRISALES RAVE DANILO

Today's prediction

82.0

Speed fig

44.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.84
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.68
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.63
  • Today Track Code +0.40

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.17
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.12
  • Last Finish Pos -0.12
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.12
  • Mean Btn Lengths Last 5 -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-07 CD 1.06m Dirt 6 7.3 78 89 2wbtw;brsh 6w upr;tire
2026-01-09 TP 1m Dirt 6 12.0 76 90 2w;4-5p2nd;no menace
2025-12-21 TP 1m Dirt 6 4.8 85 Ins;3-4p2nd;no impact
2025-11-16 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 2.0 87 88 2-3w; led 5/16-1/16
2025-10-19 KEE 1.06m Dirt 4 9.3 81 88 3-5p;chasd;stay mildly
2025-09-25 HAW 1.04m Dirt 1 1.0 83 85 Track;svd gnd;edge clr
2025-08-31 HAW 1.04m Dirt 2 1.8 84 84 Saved;3w1/8;chased on
2025-07-31 HAW 1.04m Dirt 2 7.3 84 84 Unruly;ins;angl;wllng
2025-07-06 HAW 1.04m Dirt 1 1.3 83 78 3wpursuit;wore dnw foe
2024-12-22 OP 1m Dirt 6 7.8 80 Reluctant load;evenly