John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 3

BURNHAM SQUARE

G '22 · LIAM'S MAP × LINDA

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

95.2

Speed fig

63.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.19
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.81
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.51
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.29
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.03

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.25
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.19
  • Class Par Trend -0.16
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.15
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 1.50m Turf 1 9.8 100 97 2p;4-7p1/4;strong kick
2026-02-28 GP 1.06m Turf 2 2.3 90 92 2-3wd btw; good kick
2025-08-30 KD 1.31m Turf 2 0.1 97 91 Ins 1/2;angl upr;missd
2025-07-19 MTH 1.13m Dirt 5 8.5 96 103 Outrun early; 3w 1/4
2025-06-08 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 0.5 96 97 Trck ins;chsd;slw gain
2025-05-03 CD 1.25m Dirt 6 10.5 92 102 Bumped; checked 1/2
2025-04-08 KEE 1.13m Dirt 1 0.1 97 103 Bmpd btw;5w2d;rally;up
2025-03-01 GP 1.06m Dirt 4 3.0 96 98 3wd; 5wd 3/16; mildly
2025-02-01 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 1.8 101 97 Ins;bump 1/2;4wd 5/16
2024-12-28 GP 1.06m Dirt 1 9.0 94 82 Prmpt ins;widened;drvg