John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 14

BULLARD

C '22 · GUN RUNNER × REVE D'AMOUR

Trainer: MCCARTHY MICHAEL W · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

88.2

Speed fig

24.9%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.45
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.79
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.82

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.10
  • Today Post Position -0.32
  • Class Par Trend -0.19
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-20 TP 1.06m Dirt 3 0.5 89 92 3w;closer;4p;ranon;mss
2026-01-16 SA 7f Dirt 5 7.3 92 96 Stalked;4wd;weakened
2025-05-17 CD 1.13m Dirt 5 8.3 86 93 Bmp;2wbtw;chs 3w;faded
2025-04-12 KEE 1.06m Dirt 5 6.3 86 97 3-4p;5p3/16;shift in
2025-01-04 SA 7f Dirt 3 6.0 86 101 4-3w;outkicked for 2nd
2024-11-17 DMR 7f Dirt 1 4.8 99 95 2-3w;reeled in foe;clr
2024-09-01 DMR 6f Dirt 1 1.3 92 90 Reluctant;2-3w;rallied