John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 2

BUILT

C '22 · HARD SPUN × SEA GARDEN

Trainer: CATALANO WAYNE M · Jockey: LOVEBERRY JARETH

Today's prediction

89.0

Speed fig

6.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.00
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.11
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.59
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.10
  • Last Speed Fig +0.97

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.50
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.38
  • Num Career Starts -0.37
  • Today Field Size -0.30
  • Class Par Trend -0.28

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-13 FG 6f Dirt 1 1.5 100 94 Met bid;proved best
2026-02-14 FG 5.5f Turf 5 1.5 87 95 Gain 2w;late traffic
2025-12-18 FG 6f Dirt 1 1.5 91 95 4w; bid 1/4; kept on
2025-05-03 CD 1m Dirt 9 35.8 56 98 Through after a half
2025-03-22 FG 1.19m Dirt 5 7.5 92 98 Ins;bid 2w3/8;clrd;wkn
2025-02-15 FG 1.13m Dirt 3 10.0 94 98 3w;mild bid 2w2nd;tire
2025-01-18 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 88 97 3p-ins;grind;bid;naild
2024-12-21 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 6.8 94 93 In hand ins; drew off
2024-10-06 KEE 7f Dirt 1 1.5 89 89 Prompt 2wd;drew clear
2024-08-24 ELP 6f Dirt 4 9.8 74 81 2w;4p1/4;6p upr;mvd up