John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 7

BRILAND

F '22 · MCKINZIE × BAY HARBOR

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

77.9

Speed fig

43.2%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +0.82
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.57
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.52
  • Num Career Starts +0.27
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.75
  • Class Par Trend -0.28
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.27
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.26
  • Today Post Position -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-13 SAR 1m Dirt 2 4.3 80 83 3p-ins1st;ins2nd;wknd
2025-04-27 AQU 6.5f Dirt 4 5.0 78 86 Bobbled st; kept on
2024-08-18 SAR 6f Dirt 1 0.3 85 86 3p turn;lead ins3/16