John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 13

BREAKING HEARTS

F '23 · MORE THAN READY × A CHANGE OF HEART

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

78.2

Speed fig

15.4%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.35
  • Today Track Code +0.71
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.37
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.32
  • Is Lone Speed +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.89
  • Today Field Size -0.77
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.51
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46
  • Today Post Position -0.35

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 1.06m Turf 1 2.0 80 77 3p;4p1/4;rallied;clear
2026-03-07 TP 1m Dirt 5 6.5 71 78 Ins foe;gave way btw
2026-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 9 18.5 61 78 Ins;keen 1st;4-6p2nd
2025-11-08 CD 1m Turf 6 7.0 67 80 Stp slw/chk st;ins;yld