Derby 2026
← Race

PP 12

BREAKING HEARTS

F '23 · MORE THAN READY × A CHANGE OF HEART

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

75.5

Speed fig

25.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.50
  • Days Since Last Race +0.47
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.09
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.03
  • Quirin Speed Points +0.02

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.49
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.84
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.45

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TP 1m Dirt 5 6.5 71 78 Ins foe;gave way btw
2026-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 9 18.5 61 78 Ins;keen 1st;4-6p2nd
2025-11-08 CD 1m Turf 6 7.0 67 80 Stp slw/chk st;ins;yld