John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 8

BOURBON MEMORY

F '22 · BOLT D'ORO × TAKE A MEMO

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

83.9

Speed fig

23.4%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.50
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.07
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.68
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.26

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.70
  • Mean Trouble Last 5 -0.38
  • Today Post Position -0.27
  • Today Track Code -0.24
  • Today Field Size -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 5.5f Turf 7 5.3 82 Beat slw;ins;no factor
2026-03-14 TP 6f Dirt 90 Stumbled st;lost rider
2025-06-08 CD 7f Dirt 5 15.0 74 92 Press 2w;btw;wknd 1/4
2025-05-02 CD 7f Dirt 7 7.8 84 97 Forwardly; faltered
2025-03-29 TP 6f Dirt 1 0.1 93 83 Str duel; prevailed
2025-03-01 TP 1m Dirt 1 10.3 81 82 Cleared str even terms
2025-01-31 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 6.5 90 80 2p chase dominated
2024-12-27 TP 6f Dirt 1 0.8 81 81 Off rail run held sway