John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 4

BOURBON FLIGHT

C '22 · MCKINZIE × DARKWINGSOVERDUBAI

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

78.7

Speed fig

46.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.33
  • Last Speed Fig +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Last +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Class Par Trend -0.22
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.11
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.11
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.10
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 83 89 Ins;chs;rally;edg pllc
2026-03-12 TP 1m Dirt 1 0.1 82 79 5-4p;bid 2nd;kepton;up
2026-02-07 TP 6f Dirt 3 1.0 75 81 Ins;ran on;miss place
2025-05-24 CD 1m Dirt 11 15.0 74 90 Saved ground; tired
2025-04-12 KEE 6.5f Dirt 8 20.5 65 92 5-6p; no factor
2025-03-01 GP 7f Dirt 4 16.8 70 90 Bmp brk;prsd pc;4p;wkn
2024-08-12 ELP 7f Dirt 7 13.3 62 81 Never a threat