John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R13

PP 8

BOTTLE OF ROUGE

F '23 · VINO ROSSO × BLUES CORNER

Trainer: BAFFERT BOB · Jockey: SMITH M E

Scratched today

86.6

Speed fig

In-the-money

This horse was scratched and won't run today. Past-performance data below is unaffected.

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.48
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.22
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.18
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.03
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.88

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.54
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.16
  • Today Track Code -0.63
  • Today Post Position -0.41
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1.06m Dirt 1 4.3 92 91 Off rail 1/4pl; rally
2026-02-15 SUN 1m Dirt 1 1.5 94 91 Swerved out 1/8;best
2025-10-31 DMR 1.06m Dirt 6 5.5 89 94 Angled out; weakened
2025-09-06 DMR 7f Dirt 1 1.0 89 94 Brush st;4-3wd;dug in
2025-08-09 DMR 6.5f Dirt 1 6.8 91 88 Ins;cleared;coastd1/16
2025-06-12 SA 5f Dirt 2 6.0 83 87 Climbed;4-3w;best rest