John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 2

BOTH SIDES OF BAD

G '21 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × MISS ELLA

Trainer: PITTS HELEN · Jockey: TORRES JAIME A

Today's prediction

73.8

Speed fig

29.2%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.50
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.40
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.31
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.23
  • Today Post Position +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.36
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.32
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.25
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 SA 1m Turf 4 3.0 74 83 Ins;2-3wd;no late kick
2026-02-13 SA 1.13m Turf 2 4.3 79 83 Bmpd/crowded st;2wd
2026-01-08 SA 1m Turf 3 2.5 82 83 Inside; gained 3rd
2025-10-18 SA 1m Turf 4 3.5 77 83 Early bmps;2wd/btwn
2025-09-01 DMR 1m Turf 4 1.5 74 85 2w-ins;angled;late run
2025-07-19 WYO 6f Dirt 2 1.5 69 65 Followed late interest
2025-06-08 EDR 5.5f Dirt 4 6.3 58 66 Late run inside
2023-09-22 MED 1.06m Turf 8 28.3 41 76 Off slowly steadied