John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R3

PP 5

BONUS MOVE

g '21 · TWIRLING CANDY × LADY MAMBA

Trainer: HENNIG MARK · Jockey: LOPEZ PASCACIO

Today's prediction

81.5

Speed fig

23.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.41
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.34
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.22
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.84
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.79

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.68
  • Last Finish Pos -0.38
  • Num Career Starts -0.34
  • Days Since Last Race -0.20
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 GP 1.06m Turf 12 16.3 74 92 Steadied along; 6w far
2025-12-27 GP 1.06m Turf 4 1.3 94 91 3w1st;ins;grudgingly
2025-11-02 BAQ 6f Turf 3 4.0 91 93 Chased 2p; mild kick
2025-10-04 BAQ 6f Turf 6 4.0 89 93 Pressed 3w; weakened
2025-08-30 SAR 5.5f Turf 4 2.0 84 91 Bmp st;2p;alter out1/8
2025-08-02 SAR 5.5f Turf 4 3.5 84 91 Bumped st; kept on
2025-06-06 SAR 5.5f Turf 5 2.5 94 91 Paused in tight 1/8p
2025-05-10 BAQ 1m Dirt 4 1.0 83 90 Ins-2p turn;outfinishd
2025-03-29 GP 1m Turf 3 1.5 87 90 Rail; pace; battled on
2025-02-28 GP 5f Turf 7 3.8 85 90 Svd gnd;no threat