John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Saratoga R9

PP 2

BOLD JOURNEY

G '19 · HARD SPUN × POLLY FREEZE

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

89.7

Speed fig

25.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.10
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.96
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.77
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.87
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.49
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.21
  • Num Career Starts -0.20
  • Is Surface Change From Last -0.19
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 6f Dirt 3 8.8 86 95 Lagged;6p upr;willngly
2026-02-28 AQU 6f Dirt 1 0.1 100 100 Brush gate; closed; up
2026-01-23 AQU 6f Dirt 3 2.8 92 99 Saved ground;willingly
2025-12-27 AQU 6.5f Dirt 2 0.8 97 94 2-4p turn;gained;chsd
2025-10-25 BAQ 6f Turf 5 3.3 89 92 Stumbled st;5w upper
2025-09-27 BAQ 6f Turf 2 0.3 95 96 3-4w upper; missed
2025-08-31 SAR 5.5f Turf 2 2.3 96 96 Ins-2p;4p3/16;willing
2025-06-28 BAQ 6f Turf 2 0.5 91 88 Bumped st; rebuffed
2025-06-08 SAR 5.5f Turf 9 14.8 71 98 3-4p;shift 7p out1/4
2025-05-03 BAQ 6f Turf 2 1.0 92 93 Bmp brk;3-5p trn;7p1/4