John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 1

BLESS THE BROKEN

F '22 · LAOBAN × THE NIGHTINGALE

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

88.5

Speed fig

29.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.04
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.14
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.44
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.88
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.70

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.66
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.34
  • Today Field Size -0.28
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.22
  • Num Career Starts -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 SA 1m Dirt 2 5.8 92 102 Outsd;chsd2wd;clear2nd
2026-01-09 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 2.0 95 88 Stalk3w; duel; edged
2025-06-06 SAR 1.13m Dirt 4 7.5 93 99 4w upper; weakened
2025-05-02 CD 1.13m Dirt 3 3.5 92 99 4-3p;5-7p upr;willngly
2025-03-22 TP 1.06m Dirt 1 2.8 88 90 Wide run; cleared off
2025-02-15 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 7.8 80 95 2-3w;ranged up;yielded
2025-01-18 FG 1.04m Dirt 2 2.5 93 90 Ask 3p2nd;5p1/4;up plc
2024-12-07 AQU 1.13m Dirt 7 12.3 81 92 Ins-2p trn;lackd rally
2024-11-15 CD 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 77 85 2wbtw;3-5p2d;rally;bid
2024-10-18 KEE 1.06m Dirt 8 25.8 46 85 Floatd st;3w;wkn 5p2nd