John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 12

BLACKWING

F '23 · AUTHENTIC × WITEZ

Trainer: WILKES IAN R · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

57.4

Speed fig

5.0%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.58
  • Days Since Last Race +0.28
  • Num Career Starts +0.25
  • Weight Change From Last +0.19
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -10.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.70
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.35
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.08
  • Distance Change From Last -0.96

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-12-10 TP 6f Dirt 9 14.3 58 81 Never menaced
2025-10-11 KEE 5.5f Turf 9 7.5 73 83 Trailed ins; improved
2025-09-04 KD 1m Turf 12 23.5 45 72 Chased 4-5w;retreated
2025-08-10 ELP 7f Dirt 8 30.8 40 79 Inside;showed little