John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 7

BLACK GINGER

F '22 · AMERICAN FREEDOM × PERFECT PREDICTION

Trainer: SWEEZEY J KENT · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

74.0

Speed fig

41.0%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.28
  • Last Finish Pos +0.23
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23
  • Weight Change From Last +0.22
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.78
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.61
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.41
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 6.5f Dirt 1 2.0 76 82 Ins;bid 2w7/16;driving
2026-03-11 TP 6.5f Dirt 9 22.5 47 81 Prss 3w-4p;tire 6p3/16
2026-02-05 DED 5f Dirt 2 2.3 71 78 Vied3w; second best
2025-12-23 DED 5f Dirt 3 6.5 69 78 No match for top two
2025-12-11 FG 5.5f Turf 8 17.5 57 86 Ins; retreated
2025-10-16 KEE 6f Dirt 3 11.8 68 86 Vied 2wbtw;dueled show
2025-08-17 HAW 6f Dirt 1 0.8 79 81 Rated;4w;left-ld;drvn
2025-06-21 CD 7.5f Dirt 7 15.5 69 85 Stalk ins;2p upr;tired
2025-05-10 PRM 6f Dirt 5 11.0 75 89 Passed tiring foes
2025-04-12 KEE 7f Dirt 2 1.0 81 85 Ranged up 4-5p;svd plc