John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 9

BIRD THE LEGEND

C '23 · LIAM'S MAP × SPIRIT

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

74.8

Speed fig

37.1%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.54
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.25
  • Class Par Trend +0.23
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.22
  • Weight Change From Last +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.82
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.47
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.39
  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Last Speed Fig -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-26 OP 1m Dirt 4 12.8 68 87 Chased 3p; no impact
2026-01-29 FG 6f Dirt 1 0.3 75 85 Trail; split; reel in