Derby 2026
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PP 4

BILLAL

H '21 · STREET SENSE × BAMBALINA

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

86.2

Speed fig

20.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.20
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.10
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.37
  • Days Since Last Race +0.29
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.28

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.42
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.14
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.11
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.10
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-01 GP 6.5f Dirt 5 4.0 87 95 5wd upper; late rally
2026-01-25 GP 7f Dirt 4 13.8 76 97 Pressed 3wd; tired
2025-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 2 0.8 90 3pbtw;chk7/16;bid;duel
2025-11-06 CD 6f Dirt 6 5.0 85 95 Ins;aim btw;lack bid
2025-01-26 GP 6.5f Dirt 6 13.3 76 93 Chased ins;retreated
2024-11-03 CD 5.5f Dirt 3 3.5 90 Track 3w-4p;press;chsd
2024-09-18 CD 6f Dirt 1 0.8 88 Btwn turn;angl4w;drvng
2024-08-04 SAR 6f Dirt 2 1.5 98 99 4p turn;chased;up2nd
2024-07-06 BAQ 1m Dirt 3 12.5 80 97 Ins;2p1/4;headed;tired
2024-06-08 SAR 6.5f Dirt 3 2.5 97 99 Ins-2p turn;3p1/4;chsd