PP 6
BIG ROG
G '22 · LORD NELSON × HUNCHUN CROWN
Trainer: KING BARRY L · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY
Today's prediction
70.8
Speed fig
31.8%
In-the-money
Last 10 races
Why this prediction?
Base prediction: 83.2 fig points
Pushing prediction up
- Speed Fig Consistency +0.30
- Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.24
- Prior Starts At Churchill +0.23
- BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.18
- BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.14
Pushing prediction down
- BRIS Prime Power -11.63
- Days Since Last Race -0.50
- Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.45
- Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.37
- Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.32
Past performances
| Date | Track | Dist | Sfx | Fin | Beat | Fig | Class | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | KEE | 1.06m | Dirt | 10 | 22.8 | 51 | 83 | Bump/turned in st;4-3p |
| 2026-03-12 | TP | 1m | Dirt | 7 | 7.3 | 73 | 79 | Off slow;3p;no menace |
| 2025-12-26 | TP | 1m | Dirt | 11 | 18.5 | 65 | 80 | 3p; done early |
| 2025-11-21 | CD | 1.06m | Dirt | 2 | 4.3 | 84 | 81 | Ins;up plc7/16;no mtch |
| 2025-10-29 | CD | 6f | Dirt | 4 | 6.8 | 72 | 83 | 4-3p;stayed on;up 4th |
| 2025-09-28 | CD | 7f | Dirt | 5 | 5.8 | 72 | 83 | 4-6p; moved up |
| 2025-09-12 | CD | 1.06m | Dirt | 5 | 6.8 | 77 | 81 | Press 2w;outkckd;yield |
| 2025-08-11 | ELP | 1.06m | Turf | 8 | 12.0 | 75 | 81 | 2wbtw;5p upr;no factor |
| 2025-07-14 | ELP | 1m | Turf | 7 | 6.8 | 66 | 80 | Ins;5-8p1/8;no factor |
| 2025-06-22 | CD | 6f | Dirt | 4 | 9.8 | 67 | 86 | Off pace3p; no impact |