John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
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PP 3

BIG HAT WILLIE

G '20 · FIRST SAMURAI × CLEO'S KREWE

Trainer: ABREU FERNANDO · Jockey: RODRIGUEZ JAMIE

Today's prediction

85.2

Speed fig

39.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.39
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.82
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.97
  • Today Field Size +0.35
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.24

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.27
  • Last Speed Fig -0.24
  • Num Career Starts -0.20
  • Class Par Trend -0.18
  • Last Finish Pos -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 AQU 7f Dirt 5 24.5 67 92 Brief chase btwn;faded
2026-02-27 AQU 6.5f Dirt 1 5.0 93 90 2-3p turn;stdy urging
2026-02-11 AQU 6f Dirt 7 27.5 64 95 Chased 5-4w; tired
2026-01-09 AQU 6f Dirt 6 21.0 68 98 Stumbled st; tired
2025-12-05 AQU 6f Dirt 1 2.3 95 92 2-3p turn;dueled;up
2025-11-22 AQU 7f Dirt 4 10.3 89 98 3w pursuit; weakened
2025-10-08 DEL 6f Dirt 1 0.5 90 87 Track; 5wbid; kept on
2025-05-18 CD 6f Dirt 1 3.3 88 93 Gain 3-4p;bid 1/4;clrd
2025-04-29 IND 5.5f Dirt 3 1.5 81 89 Stlk btw;bid late rail
2025-01-23 OP 6f Dirt 5 11.3 76 92 2nd flight btwn;empty